Theory for transitions between log and stationary phases: universal laws for lag time

Quantitative characterization of bacterial growth has gathered substantial attention since Monod's pioneering study. Theoretical and experimental work has uncovered several laws for describing the log growth phase, in which the number of cells grows exponentially. However, microorganism growth also exhibits lag, stationary, and death phases under starvation conditions, in which cell growth is highly suppressed, while quantitative laws or theories for such phases are underdeveloped. In fact, models commonly adopted for the log phase that consist of autocatalytic chemical components, including ribosomes, can only show exponential growth or decay in a population, and phases that halt growth are not realized. Here, we propose a simple, coarse-grained cell model that includes inhibitor molecule species in addition to the autocatalytic active protein. The inhibitor forms a complex with active proteins to suppress the catalytic process. Depending on the nutrient condition, the model exhibits the typical transition among the lag, log, stationary, and death phases. Furthermore, the lag time needed for growth recovery after starvation follows the square root of the starvation time and is inverse to the maximal growth rate, in agreement with experimental observations. Moreover, the distribution of lag time among cells shows an exponential tail, also consistent with experiments. Our theory further predicts strong dependence of lag time upon the speed of substrate depletion, which should be examined experimentally. The present model and theoretical analysis provide universal growth laws beyond the log phase, offering insight into how cells halt growth without entering the death phase.