no code implementations • 26 Sep 2023 • Andrea Bizzotto, Giorgio Guzzetta, Valentina Marziano, Martina del Manso, Alberto Mateo Urdiales, Daniele Petrone, Andrea Cannone, Chiara Sacco, Piero Poletti, Mattia Manica, Agnese Zardini, Filippo Trentini, Massimo Fabiani, Antonino Bella, Flavia Riccardo, Patrizio Pezzotti, Marco Ajelli, Stefano Merler
The time varying reproduction number R is a critical variable for situational awareness during infectious disease outbreaks, but delays between infection and reporting hinder its accurate estimation in real time.
no code implementations • 7 Dec 2022 • Marco Pangallo, Alberto Aleta, R. Maria del Rio Chanona, Anton Pichler, David Martín-Corral, Matteo Chinazzi, François Lafond, Marco Ajelli, Esteban Moro, Yamir Moreno, Alessandro Vespignani, J. Doyne Farmer
The potential tradeoff between health outcomes and economic impact has been a major challenge in the policy making process during the COVID-19 pandemic.
no code implementations • 11 Mar 2022 • Mattia Manica, Maria Litvinova, Alfredo De Bellis, Giorgio Guzzetta, Pamela Mancuso, Massimo Vicentini, Francesco Venturelli, Eufemia Bisaccia, Ana I. Bento, Piero Poletti, Valentina Marziano, Agnese Zardini, Valeria d'Andrea, Filippo Trentini, Antonino Bella, Flavia Riccardo, Patrizio Pezzotti, Marco Ajelli, Paolo Giorgi Rossi, Stefano Merler, the Reggio Emilia COVID-19 Working Group
These results indicate limited differences in the incubation period and intrinsic generation time of SARS-CoV-2 variants Alpha and Delta compared to ancestral lineages.
no code implementations • 29 Mar 2021 • Agnese Zardini, Margherita Galli, Marcello Tirani, Danilo Cereda, Mattia Manica, Filippo Trentini, Giorgio Guzzetta, Valentina Marziano, Raffaella Piccarreta, Alessia Melegaro, Marco Ajelli, Piero Poletti, Stefano Merler
Solid estimates describing the clinical course of SARS-CoV-2 infections are still lacking due to under-ascertainment of asymptomatic and mild-disease cases.
1 code implementation • 25 Feb 2020 • Dina Mistry, Maria Litvinova, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Matteo Chinazzi, Laura Fumanelli, Marcelo F. C. Gomes, Syed A. Haque, Quan-Hui Liu, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ira M. Longini Jr., Stefano Merler, Marco Ajelli, Alessandro Vespignani
Mathematical and computational modeling approaches are increasingly used as quantitative tools in the analysis and forecasting of infectious disease epidemics.
Populations and Evolution Physics and Society Quantitative Methods