1 code implementation • 23 Apr 2024 • Thomas McAndrew, Maimuna S. Majumder, Andrew A. Lover, Srini Venkatramanan, Paolo Bocchini, Tamay Besiroglu, Allison Codi, Gaia Dempsey, Sam Abbott, Sylvain Chevalier, Nikos I. Bosse, Juan Cambeiro, David Braun
In May 2022, mpox (formerly monkeypox) spread to non-endemic countries rapidly.
no code implementations • 26 Jul 2019 • Thomas McAndrew, Nicholas G. Reich
We propose an adaptive ensemble forecast that (i) changes model weights week-by-week throughout the influenza season, (ii) only needs the current influenza season's data to make predictions, and (iii) by introducing a prior distribution, shrinks weights toward the reference equal weighting approach and adjusts for observed ILI percentages that are subject to future revisions.
